French Investigators Uncover Alleged Insider Trading Network With 98% Win Rate on U.S.-Iran War Bets
July 31, 2026“A 98% WIN RATE. THIS IS LIKE WINNING THE LOTTERY MULTIPLE TIMES.”
Watch Nicolas Vaiman and lead investigator “Deebs” from data analytics firm Bubblemaps expose a massive war profiteering network on 60 Minutes.
They uncovered 9 interconnected Polymarket accounts that pulled in a staggering $2.4 MILLION by betting almost exclusively on U.S. military strikes and operations—with an unheard-of 98% win rate.
While missiles fell and people died, someone with advance knowledge of U.S. military actions was using anonymous prediction markets as a personal casino.
While everyday people suffer the consequences of war, insiders with access to classified military intelligence are quietly turning military strikes into multi-million-dollar paydays.
Source: @60minutes
#Polymarket #Bubblemaps #InsiderTrading #WarProfiteering #fyp
English Script:
This might be the most insane pattern we have found in poly markets so far.
Based in Paris, Nicholas Vayman’s small data analytics firm Bubblemaps creates visualizations of bets on Poly Market to spot bubbles or clusters of suspect traders. One paradox of Poly Market: Everything about the trades is totally transparent and public, except the traders themselves remain anonymous.
This big cluster in the middle, no one talked about it.
The firm’s head of investigations goes by his online handle, Deebs. He asked us to obscure his identity over fears of retaliation for his detective work. They shared for the first time what they believe is a more egregious insider trading case then Gannon Ken van Dykes.
We spotted nine Poly Market accounts, all connected, who made collectively $2.4 million, betting almost exclusively on US military operations. Van Dyke made 400,000 here, 2.4 million. And now, here’s the crazy part. 98% win rate.
Oh, wait wait wait wait. 98%?
98%.
This is like winning the lottery multiple times, you know. The linked accounts made dozens of winning bets on the specific dates of pivotal moments in the war with Iran, even when the odds were low. The first U.S. strikes, the removal of Iran’s supreme leader, the announcement of a ceasefire.
How do we know this isn’t just someone who has really good instincts?
Luck alone can not explain those numbers.
If you know this, why don’t federal prosecutors?
Well, hopefully with your interview that they’re going to know this.