POTENTIAL ISRAELI COUNTERSTRIKE TARGETS IN IRAN
April 14, 2024Former US Defense Secretary Mark Esper weighs in on the recent Iranian attack on Israel, calling the more than 400 missiles and drones ‘disproportionate’.
In his conversation with CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, he outlines potential Israeli counterstrike targets within Iran, including nuclear sites.
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English Script:
Mark Esper: I’m a little surprised by the scale and scope of the Iranian attack. It’s clearly disproportionate. I expected to see something much smaller and maybe something that did not hit Israel proper. And so this is a really significant escalation. And when you step back and look, you know, over the decades, now I think it’s unclear where this goes from now. I suspect, I’m fairly confident Israel will respond. But how each side moves back and forth up the escalation ladder from there, it can really open up into a much wider regional war. I’m sure Prime Minister Netanyahu is now looking, working with his war cabinet, trying to figure out what to do next and looking at a similar set of options. I suspect they will be discussed with the United States and he has to ask himself what does he want to do next? Clearly, the Iranian nuclear program would be a strategic target of great value. But it’s a very difficult one. It’s in the interior of the country. It’s well defended, a little bit hard to get to. The Israelis may look at something operationally more easy and could open up the door to other things. So, for example, taking out the Iranian air defense systems on the eastern side of the Persian Gulf, which would open up a door, so to speak, to attack other targets within the country, or Israel may say, look, I want to go at some of their defense industrial base, for example, it’s fairly well known where they produce their drones and items like that, cruise missiles. Maybe they want to take out a major factory. So it depends on what you want to accomplish with this next strike, because you don’t know whether it will be your last one or whether it will be one of many to come. And so I think those considerations get weighed out. Now, a part of this problem, too, though, Wolf, is, you know, Israel has a very capable air force. And the challenge will be is will they get overflight rights, for example, to fly across Iraq and Jordan and Saudi Arabia, wherever the case may be, to attack Israel if they want to do it through airstrikes as compared to missile strikes. I suspect the Arab countries will say no because they don’t want to get involved in this as well and be complicit in what would look like, will clearly be an Israeli counterattack. So there are all these different issues you have to figure out, what do you want to strike? How do you want to go about doing it? What forces can you commit? Will the United States support? What type of support from United States do you need? I think all those things are now being discussed in a lot more detail.
